Graphic source: The Long War Journal
From the looks of things, although Sadr is now claiming to form a new organization, the hard evidence shows that he is losing popular support. Sadr is losing not only in terms of numbers, but please recall, that when the Coalition forces ran into armed conflicts, it was Sadr who was reputed to be the preeminent insurgent leader. The new tactic of demonstration may well illustrate that the insurgency can not be sustained and Sadr is left with trying to rally enough people to demonstrate in political actions. In any case, this is a positive development because armed opposition is weaker and Sadr, to remain relevant at all, must have recourse to more legitimate forms of democratic protest.
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